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 | Acceso al texto completo restringido a Biblioteca INIA Treinta y Tres. Por información adicional contacte bibliott@inia.org.uy. |
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Registro completo
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Biblioteca (s) : |
INIA Treinta y Tres. |
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Fecha : |
28/03/2016 |
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Actualizado : |
24/09/2018 |
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Tipo de producción científica : |
Artículos en Revistas Indexadas Internacionales |
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Autor : |
BASSU, S.; BRISSON, N.; DURAND, J.L.; BOOTE, K.; LIZASO, J.; JONES, J.W.; ROSENZWEIG, C.; RUANE, A.C.; ADAM, M.; BARON, C.; BASSO, B.; BIERNATH, C.; BOOGAARD, H.; CONIJN, S.; CORBEELS, M.L; DERYNG, D.; SANTIS, G. DE; GAYLER, S.; GRASSINI, P.; HATFIELD, J.; HOEK, S.; IZAURRALDE, C.; JONGSCHAAP, R.; KEMANIAN, A.R.; KERSEBAUM, C.KIM, S-H.; KUMAR, N.; MAKOWSKI, D.; MÜLLER, C.; NENDEL, C.; PRIESACK, E.; PRAVIA, V.; SAU, F.; SHCHERBAK, I.; TAO, F.; TEXEIRA, E.; TIMLIN, D.; WAHA, K. |
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Afiliación : |
MARIA VIRGINIA PRAVIA NIN, INIA (Instituto Nacional de Investigación Agropecuaria), Uruguay; Department of Plant Science, The Pennsylvania State University, USA. |
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Título : |
How do various maize crop models vary in their responses to climate change factors? |
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Fecha de publicación : |
2014 |
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Fuente / Imprenta : |
Global Change Biology, 2014, v.20(7), p. 2301-2320. |
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DOI : |
10.1111/gcb.12520 |
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Idioma : |
Inglés |
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Notas : |
Article history: Received 7 June 2013 and accepted 2 December 2013, published 2014. |
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Contenido : |
Abstract:
Potential consequences of climate change on crop production can be studied using mechanistic crop simulation models. While a broad variety of maize simulation models exist, it is not known whether different models diverge on grain yield responses to changes in climatic factors, or whether they agree in their general trends related to phenology, growth, and yield. With the goal of analyzing the sensitivity of simulated yields to changes in temperature and atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations [CO2], we present the largest maize crop model intercomparison to date, including 23 different models. These models were evaluated for four locations representing a wide range of maize production conditions in the world: Lusignan (France), Ames (USA), Rio Verde (Brazil) and Morogoro (Tanzania).
While individual models differed considerably in absolute yield simulation at the four sites, an ensemble of a minimum number of models was able to simulate absolute yields accurately at the four sites even with low data forcalibration, thus suggesting that using an ensemble of models has merit. Temperature increase had strong negative influence on modeled yield response of roughly 0.5 Mg ha1 per °C. Doubling [CO2] from 360 to 720 lmol mol1 increased grain yield by 7.5% on average across models and the sites. That would therefore make temperature the main factor altering maize yields at the end of this century. Furthermore, there was a large uncertainty in the yield response to [CO2] among models. Model responses to temperature and [CO2] did not differ whether models were simulated with low calibration information or, simulated with high level of calibration information. MenosAbstract:
Potential consequences of climate change on crop production can be studied using mechanistic crop simulation models. While a broad variety of maize simulation models exist, it is not known whether different models diverge on grain yield responses to changes in climatic factors, or whether they agree in their general trends related to phenology, growth, and yield. With the goal of analyzing the sensitivity of simulated yields to changes in temperature and atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations [CO2], we present the largest maize crop model intercomparison to date, including 23 different models. These models were evaluated for four locations representing a wide range of maize production conditions in the world: Lusignan (France), Ames (USA), Rio Verde (Brazil) and Morogoro (Tanzania).
While individual models differed considerably in absolute yield simulation at the four sites, an ensemble of a minimum number of models was able to simulate absolute yields accurately at the four sites even with low data forcalibration, thus suggesting that using an ensemble of models has merit. Temperature increase had strong negative influence on modeled yield response of roughly 0.5 Mg ha1 per °C. Doubling [CO2] from 360 to 720 lmol mol1 increased grain yield by 7.5% on average across models and the sites. That would therefore make temperature the main factor altering maize yields at the end of this century. Furthermore, there was a large uncertainty in the yield response to [CO2]... Presentar Todo |
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Palabras claves : |
AGMIP; CARBON DIOXIDE; CLIMATE; CO2; GRAIN YIELD; MAIZE; MODEL INTERCOMPARISON; MODELIZACIÓN DE CULTIVOS; SIMULATION MODELS; TEMPERATURE. |
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Thesagro : |
CLIMA; DIOXIDO DE CARBONO; INCERTIDUMBRE; MAÍZ; MODELOS DE SIMULACIÓN; TEMPERATURA. |
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Asunto categoría : |
U10 Métodos matemáticos y estadísticos |
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Marc : |
LEADER 03684naa a2200769 a 4500
001 1054517
005 2018-09-24
008 2014 bl uuuu u00u1 u #d
024 7 $a10.1111/gcb.12520$2DOI
100 1 $aBASSU, S.
245 $aHow do various maize crop models vary in their responses to climate change factors?$h[electronic resource]
260 $c2014
500 $aArticle history: Received 7 June 2013 and accepted 2 December 2013, published 2014.
520 $aAbstract: Potential consequences of climate change on crop production can be studied using mechanistic crop simulation models. While a broad variety of maize simulation models exist, it is not known whether different models diverge on grain yield responses to changes in climatic factors, or whether they agree in their general trends related to phenology, growth, and yield. With the goal of analyzing the sensitivity of simulated yields to changes in temperature and atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations [CO2], we present the largest maize crop model intercomparison to date, including 23 different models. These models were evaluated for four locations representing a wide range of maize production conditions in the world: Lusignan (France), Ames (USA), Rio Verde (Brazil) and Morogoro (Tanzania). While individual models differed considerably in absolute yield simulation at the four sites, an ensemble of a minimum number of models was able to simulate absolute yields accurately at the four sites even with low data forcalibration, thus suggesting that using an ensemble of models has merit. Temperature increase had strong negative influence on modeled yield response of roughly 0.5 Mg ha1 per °C. Doubling [CO2] from 360 to 720 lmol mol1 increased grain yield by 7.5% on average across models and the sites. That would therefore make temperature the main factor altering maize yields at the end of this century. Furthermore, there was a large uncertainty in the yield response to [CO2] among models. Model responses to temperature and [CO2] did not differ whether models were simulated with low calibration information or, simulated with high level of calibration information.
650 $aCLIMA
650 $aDIOXIDO DE CARBONO
650 $aINCERTIDUMBRE
650 $aMAÍZ
650 $aMODELOS DE SIMULACIÓN
650 $aTEMPERATURA
653 $aAGMIP
653 $aCARBON DIOXIDE
653 $aCLIMATE
653 $aCO2
653 $aGRAIN YIELD
653 $aMAIZE
653 $aMODEL INTERCOMPARISON
653 $aMODELIZACIÓN DE CULTIVOS
653 $aSIMULATION MODELS
653 $aTEMPERATURE
700 1 $aBRISSON, N.
700 1 $aDURAND, J.L.
700 1 $aBOOTE, K.
700 1 $aLIZASO, J.
700 1 $aJONES, J.W.
700 1 $aROSENZWEIG, C.
700 1 $aRUANE, A.C.
700 1 $aADAM, M.
700 1 $aBARON, C.
700 1 $aBASSO, B.
700 1 $aBIERNATH, C.
700 1 $aBOOGAARD, H.
700 1 $aCONIJN, S.
700 1 $aCORBEELS, M.L
700 1 $aDERYNG, D.
700 1 $aSANTIS, G. DE
700 1 $aGAYLER, S.
700 1 $aGRASSINI, P.
700 1 $aHATFIELD, J.
700 1 $aHOEK, S.
700 1 $aIZAURRALDE, C.
700 1 $aJONGSCHAAP, R.
700 1 $aKEMANIAN, A.R.
700 1 $aKERSEBAUM, C.KIM, S-H.
700 1 $aKUMAR, N.
700 1 $aMAKOWSKI, D.
700 1 $aMÜLLER, C.
700 1 $aNENDEL, C.
700 1 $aPRIESACK, E.
700 1 $aPRAVIA, V.
700 1 $aSAU, F.
700 1 $aSHCHERBAK, I.
700 1 $aTAO, F.
700 1 $aTEXEIRA, E.
700 1 $aTIMLIN, D.
700 1 $aWAHA, K.
773 $tGlobal Change Biology, 2014$gv.20(7), p. 2301-2320.
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| 21. |  | Morón, A.; Baethgen, W. Descomposición de rastrojos ln: Jornada Cultivos de Invierno, 1995 : La Estanzuela [Memorias]. Montevideo (Uruguay): INIA, 1995. p17-18 Serie Acitividades de Difusión (INIA) Participaron : Programa de Cultivos de Invierno y Programa Nacional de Evaluación de Cultivares| Biblioteca(s): INIA La Estanzuela. |
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| 24. | | BAETHGEN, W.E. Dinamica del nitrogeno en sistemas de rotación cultivos-pasturas: resumen In: ASOCIACIÓN DE INGENIEROS AGRÓNOMOS REGIONALES; INIA (INSTITUTO NACIONAL DE INVESTIGACIÓN AGROPECUARIA); SIMPOSIO SUSTENTABILIDAD DE LAS ROTACIONES CULTIVO - PASTURA, 8-9 AGOSTO 1991, PAYSANDÚ, URUGUAY. Resumenes. Montevideo (Uruguay): INIA, 1991. p.1 (INIA Serie técnica; 11) Trabajos publicados en la Revista INIA Investigaciones Agronómicas 1992 v.1(1)| Tipo: Abstracts/Resúmenes |
| Biblioteca(s): INIA La Estanzuela; INIA Las Brujas. |
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| 34. | | GIMÉNEZ, A.; CASTAÑO, J.; OLIVERA, L.; FUREST, J.; BAETHGEN, W.; MARTINO, D.L.; ROMERO, R. El clima, la producción agropecuaria y la toma de decisiones Revista del Plan Agropecuario, 2004, no. 112, p. 34-37| Biblioteca(s): INIA Tacuarembó. |
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| 36. | | BAETHGEN, W. El nitrógeno en los sistemas agrícola ganaderos In: MORON, A.; MARTINO, D.; SAWCHIK, J. (Eds.). Manejo y fertilidad de suelos . Montevideo (Uruguay): INIA, 1996. p. 9-22 (INIA Serie Técnica ; 76) Información presentada en el II Curso de Actualización Técnica Manejo y Fertilidad de Suelos, 1995 set 4-8, La Estanzuela| Tipo: Capítulo en Libro Técnico-Científico |
| Biblioteca(s): INIA La Estanzuela; INIA Las Brujas; INIA Tacuarembó. |
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| 37. | | BAETHGEN, W.; TERRA, R. El riego en un clima cambiante. In: GRUPO DE DESARROLLO DE RIEGO; SEMINARIO INTERNACIONAL, 1ER. AGOSTO 2010, PAYSANDÚ, URUGUAY. Potencial del riego extensivo en cultivos y pasturas. Montevideo (Uruguay): INIA, 2010. p. 7-18 Bibliografía: p. 193-194| Tipo: Capítulo en Libro Técnico-Científico |
| Biblioteca(s): INIA La Estanzuela. |
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| Registros recuperados : 97 | |
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